Population Transition
HIV/AIDS and Mortality
- Direct Effect of HIV on Mortality
- 1.5 million additional deaths attributable to HIV by 2025
- Reduction in population growth
- In Rakai:
- high prevalence parishes have negative pop. growth in 1990-1995
- effects muted at district and national level
- 0-4 age rage smaller than older cohorts
- Indirect Effects
- smaller youngest age range will cause lower birth rates as this cohort ages to reproductive age
- HIV/AIDS will shift to younger age ranges
HIV/AIDS and Life Expectancy
- Current life expectancy is 41
- 5 year drop
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