VAR CF0714 WILL PRESIDENTIAL RACE BE CLOSE COLUMNS 482 - 482 NUMERIC MD EQ 0 (IF R PREDICTS A WINNER IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:) Do you think it [the presidential race] will be a close race or will <R's predicted winning candidate> win by quite a bit? 1980 and later: (IF R REPLIES "DK" WHO WILL WIN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:) Do you think the presidential race will be close or will one candidate win by quite a bit? ------------------------------------------------------------------- USE WEIGHT VARIABLE VCF0009/VCF0009A/VCF0009B. 1956 cases originally coded as "closer than last time," "same as last time" or "not so close as last time" (100 cases) have been recoded as 0 in VCF0714. In 1964 only, if R predicted a winner who was not from the major parties, then this question was not asked. 1. Will win by quite a bit 2. Close race 9. DK; pro-Con; depends; etc. 0. NA; INAP, no pre IW (1952,1960); R replies DK who will win (1952-1976); R's prediction NA; question not used 1952: 14 1956: 13 1960: 18 1964: 19 1968: 26 1972: 26 1976: 3027 1980: 55 1984: 77 1988: 99 1992: 3103 1996: 960382 ==============================