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VAR CF0714 WILL PRESIDENTIAL RACE BE CLOSE

VAR CF0714    WILL PRESIDENTIAL RACE BE CLOSE                                 
              COLUMNS 482  - 482                                              
              NUMERIC                                                         
              MD EQ 0

      (IF R PREDICTS A WINNER IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:) Do you think it [the 
      presidential race] will be a close race or will <R's predicted winning  
      candidate> win by quite a bit?                                          
      1980 and later: (IF R REPLIES "DK" WHO WILL WIN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:) 
      Do you think the presidential race will be close or will one candidate  
      win by quite a bit?                                                     
        -------------------------------------------------------------------   
                                                                              
        USE WEIGHT VARIABLE VCF0009/VCF0009A/VCF0009B.                        
                                                                              
        1956 cases originally coded as "closer than last time," "same as last 
        time" or "not so close as last time" (100 cases) have been recoded as 
        0 in VCF0714.                                                         
                                                                              
        In 1964 only, if R predicted a winner who was not from the major      
        parties, then this question was not asked.                            
                                                                              
               1.  Will win by quite a bit                                    
               2.  Close race                                                 
               9.  DK; pro-Con; depends; etc.                                 
                                                                              
               0.  NA; INAP, no pre IW (1952,1960); R replies DK who will win 
                   (1952-1976); R's prediction NA; question not used          
                                                                              
        1952:  14     1956:  13     1960:  18                                 
        1964:  19     1968:  26     1972:  26                                 
        1976:  3027   1980:  55     1984:  77                                 
        1988:  99     1992:  3103   1996:  960382                             
                                                                              
                                                                              
==============================


Walter Mebane
Mon Nov 12 02:55:58 EST 2001