2.55 Arguments

Category: Philosophy of Mind/Epistemology

Keywords: argument, arguments, premise, thesis, conclusion, defence, conclude, reply, premises, objections, premiss, reject, establish, assumption, objection

Number of Articles: 122
Percentage of Total: 0.4%
Rank: 87th

Weighted Number of Articles: 685
Percentage of Total: 2.1%
Rank: 3rd

Mean Publication Year: 1981.8
Weighted Mean Publication Year: 1981.5
Median Publication Year: 1980
Modal Publication Year: 1971

Topic with Most Overlap: Deduction (0.0345)
Topic this Overlaps Most With: Ontological Argument (0.065)
Topic with Least Overlap: Beauty (0.00044)
Topic this Overlaps Least With: Life and Value (0.00428)

A scatterplot showing which proportion of articles each year are in the argumentstopic. The x-axis shows the year, the y-axis measures the proportion of articles each year in this topic. There is one dot per year. The highest value is in 1998 when 3.3% of articles were in this topic. The lowest value is in 1887 when 0.0% of articles were in this topic. The full table that provides the data for this graph is available in Table A.55 in Appendix A.

Figure 2.129: Arguments.

A set of twelve scatterplots showing the proportion of articles in each journal in each year that are in the Argumentstopic. There is one scatterplot for each of the twelve journals that are the focus of this book. In each scatterplot, the x-axis is the year, and the y-axis is the proportion of articles in that year in that journal in this topic. Here are the average values for each of the twelve scatterplots - these tell you on average how much of the journal is dedicated to this topic. Mind - 2.0%. Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society - 1.5%. Ethics - 1.6%. Philosophical Review - 2.0%. Analysis - 2.9%. Philosophy and Public Affairs - 2.2%. Journal of Philosophy - 1.7%. Philosophy and Phenomenological Research - 2.0%. Philosophy of Science - 1.4%. Noûs - 2.9%. The Philosophical Quarterly - 3.4%. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science - 2.0%. The topic reaches its zenith in year 1998 when it makes up, on average across the journals, 3.5% of the articles. And it hits a minimum in year 1887 when it makes up, on average across the journals, 0.0% of the articles.

Figure 2.130: Arguments articles in each journal.

Table 2.155: Characteristic articles of the arguments topic.
Table 2.156: Highly cited articles in the arguments topic.

Comments

So this is a slightly unfortunate choice that the model made. It notices that there are papers that are about arguments, focusing on things like question begging and circularity. Then it identifies this as a topic, and everywhere someone talks about arguments, it says that maybe that paper should be in this topic. But a lot of philosophy papers talk about arguments! If all papers talked about arguments to the same extent, then the model would zero it all out. But that’s not what happened. It doesn’t even happen to equal amounts over years. This can be seen just by looking at word frequency graphs.

A scatterplot showing the frequency of the words argument, arguments, premise, conclusion. The word argument appears, on average across the years, 1566 times per million words, and in the median year, it appears 1268 times per million words. Its most frequent occurrence is in 1998 when it appears 3071 times per million words, and its least frequent occurrence is in 1887 when it appears 205 times per million words. The word arguments appears, on average across the years, 447 times per million words, and in the median year, it appears 398 times per million words. Its most frequent occurrence is in 2009 when it appears 934 times per million words, and its least frequent occurrence is in 1889 when it appears 36 times per million words. The word premise appears, on average across the years, 157 times per million words, and in the median year, it appears 150 times per million words. Its most frequent occurrence is in 1998 when it appears 381 times per million words, and its least frequent occurrence is in 1876 when it appears 0 times per million words. The word conclusion appears, on average across the years, 636 times per million words, and in the median year, it appears 650 times per million words. Its most frequent occurrence is in 1910 when it appears 1138 times per million words, and its least frequent occurrence is in 1887 when it appears 205 times per million words.

Figure 2.131: Words about arguments.

It’s interesting that premise and conclusion don’t change their frequency over time. But there is a rapid acceleration in how often the word argument is used. And, though I’m not sure the graph makes this clear, arguments also increases too. And note that the word frequency of argument tracks really closely the weighted sum of the topic.

The 122 articles that are primarily in the topic are a somewhat odd group. There are some, as can be seen from the top of the charactistic articles list, that are really about things like circularity. Further down, there are articles that are particularly about arguments for incompatibilism and, especially, arguments for dualism.

This topic has, by a lot, the biggest gap between its raw sum and weighted sum. This is because there are so many articles where the model gives a small, but far from negligible, probability to the article being in the topic. Here’s one way to see that. For each topic, we can ask for how many articles is it the n-th most probable topic. We’ve done that already for n = 1; that’s what the raw count reports. But for this topic the values for n between 2 and 10 are a little eye popping.

Table 2.157: Table 2.158: The number of articles that have arguments as the n-th highest ranked topic.
Rank Number of Articles
1 122
2 718
3 1169
4 1344
5 1428
6 1391
7 1379
8 1267
9 1130
10 991

For comparison, here’s what that table looks like for causation

Table 2.159: Table 2.160: The number of articles that have causation as the n-th highest ranked topic.
Rank Number of Articles
1 385
2 403
3 377
4 354
5 346
6 353
7 410
8 316
9 376
10 377

Here are some of these articles that the model thinks are second most likely to be in arguments. (I’ve restricted this list to articles at least twenty pages long.)

Probably if the model hadn’t landed on this topic, it would have been even clearer that some articles were philosophy of religion articles or ancient philosophy articles.

And this is why this topic is ultimately one I regret having. If I did this whole project over again, I would steer away from models that select topics based on tools, and towards ones that focus more centrally on particular philosophical subject matters.